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2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election

The 2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, to elect the 41st Governor of Minnesota as incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Mark Dayton chose not to run for re-election for a third term. The Democratic nominee was U.S. Representative Tim Walz from Minnesota's 1st congressional district while the Republican Party nominated Hennepin County commissioner Jeff Johnson for a second consecutive time. The Independence Party of Minnesota did not field a candidate for the first time since 1994. Going into the election polls showed Walz ahead; the race was characterized as lean or likely DFL.

Walz went on to defeat Johnson by the largest margin for a DFL candidate since 1986, receiving more votes than any other gubernatorial candidate in Minnesota history. This was the first Minnesota gubernatorial election since 1958 in which any party won more than two consecutive elections, as well as the first time since 1998 where the party of the incumbent president lost.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Erin Murphy (DFL)
Labor unions
State elected officials
Local officials
National organizations
Rebecca Otto (DFL)
State officials
  • Tina Liebling, state representative, former 2018 gubernatorial candidate
Individuals
Lori Swanson (DFL)
Federal politicians
  • Rick Nolan, U.S. representative and candidate for lieutenant governor on the same ticket
State elected officials
Newspapers
Unions
Tim Walz (DFL)
Federal politicians
Mayors
State elected officials
Individuals
Tribal nations
Newspapers
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Straw poll

Straw poll ballot at the Minnesota DFL February 2018 precinct caucuses

On February 6, 2018, the DFL conducted a statewide straw poll among registered Democrats in Minnesota. Caucus-goers were scheduled to elect delegates to their party's Senate district and county conventions, which in turn will elect state convention delegates who will endorse candidates for governor, two U.S. Senate seats, attorney general, state auditor and secretary of state. Congressional district delegates will endorse U.S. House candidates. Since the straw poll the three lowest performing candidates withdrew from the race (Paul Thissen, Chris Coleman, and Tina Liebling).

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Tim Pawlenty
State officials
Organizations
  • Housing First Minnesota[82]
  • Associated Builders and Contractors[83]
  • Minnesota Chamber of Commerce[84]
  • Minnesota College Republicans[85]
  • Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis[86]
Newspapers and publications

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Results

Third parties and independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Notes
  1. ^ Based on an estimated number of 4,064,389 eligible voters[1]
  2. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

The debate season began only three days after the primaries with Johnson and Walz participating in two debates on Friday, August 17. A third debate was held Friday, August 31.[102][103]

Endorsements

Jeff Johnson (R)
Federal officials
Statewide and local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Tim Walz (DFL)
Federal officials
Newspapers
Mayors
  • Eric Garcetti, mayor of Los Angeles[122]
  • Jacob Frey, mayor of Minneapolis[37]
  • Melvin Carter, mayor of St. Paul
  • Rita Albrecht, mayor of Bemidji
  • Emily Larson, mayor of Duluth
  • Rick Cannata, mayor of Hibbing
  • Bob Byrnes, mayor of Marshall
  • Molly Cummings, mayor of Hopkins
  • Mary Gaasch, mayor of Lauderdale
  • Kirsten Hagen-Kennedy, mayor of North Branch
  • Mike Kuhle, mayor of Worthington
  • Mike Maguire, mayor of Eagan
  • Rick Miller, mayor of Waite Park
  • Harold Peterson, mayor of Blooming Prairie
  • Sarah Schroeder, mayor of Spring Grove
  • John Tuorilla, mayor of Columet
  • Nancy Tyra-Lukens, mayor of Eden Prairie
  • Ardell Brede, mayor of Rochester
  • Nora Slawik, mayor of Maplewood
  • Ben Schierer, mayor of Fergus Falls
  • Jim Hovland, mayor of Edina
  • Shep Harris, mayor of Golden Valley
  • Gary Skalko, mayor of Mountain Iron
  • Roy Srp, mayor of Waseca
  • Myron Bailey, mayor of Cottage Grove
  • Pat Baustian, mayor of Luverne
  • Bob Broeder, mayor of Le Seur
  • Ted Kozlowski, mayor of Stillwater
  • Jack L'Heureux, mayor of Mora
  • Charles Novak, mayor of Ely
  • Mark Peterson, mayor of Winona
  • Dennis Phelps, mayor of Westbrook
  • Mike Poellinger, mayor of La Crescent
  • Gary Skalko, mayor of Mountain Iron
  • Dave Smiglewski, mayor of Granite Falls
  • Tom Stiehm, mayor of Austin
  • Robert Beussman, mayor of New Ulm
  • R. T. Rybak, former mayor of Minneapolis[35]
  • El Tinklenberg, former mayor of Blaine
State and local officials
Local officials
  • Noah Hobbs, Duluth City Council
  • Renee Van Nett, Duluth City Council
  • Andrew Johnson, Minneapolis City Council
  • Abdi Warsame, Minneapolis City Council
  • Linea Palmisano, Minneapolis City Council
  • Michael Herring, Robbinsdale School Board
  • David Boone, Robbinsdale School Board
  • Pam Lindberg, Robbinsdale School Board
  • Anne Casey, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Mary Tomback, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Karen Waters, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Ken Morrison, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Crystal Brakke, Richfield School Board
  • Chris LaTondresse, Hopkins School Board
  • Jen Bouchard, Hopkins School Board
  • Betsy Tate Anderson, former Hopkins School Board
  • Nancy Livingston, North St. Paul School Board
  • Todd Rengo, Esko School Board
  • Jim Grabowska, St. Clair School Board
  • Dan Hartman, former Duluth Council
  • Kevin Staunton, Edina City Council
  • Joanie Clausen, Golden Valley Council
  • Gillian Rosenquist, Golden Valley Council
  • Katy Campbell, Hopkins Council
  • Valerie Holthus, Andover City Council
  • Christian Torkelson, Little Canada Council
  • Mari Daily, Moorhead Council
  • Nevada Littlewolf, Virginia City Council
  • Randy Maluchnik, Carver County commissioner
  • Vance Stuehrenberg, Blue Earth County commissioner
  • Gordy Wagner, Pope County commissioner
  • Reed Olson, Beltrami County commissioner
  • Linda Higgins, Hennepin County commissioner
Individuals
Tribal nations
Unions
National organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Erin Murphy and Tim Pawlenty
with Lori Swanson and Tim Pawlenty
with Tim Walz and Tim Pawlenty
with Lori Swanson and Jeff Johnson

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Walz won 5 of 8 congressional districts. Each candidate won a district won by the other party.[129]

Voter demographics

See also

Notes

References

  1. ^ "Minnesota Secretary of State - Historical Voter Turnout Statistics".
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  7. ^ "Erin Murphy taps Erin Maye Quade as running mate in race for governor". WCCO-TV. June 3, 2018. Retrieved June 3, 2018.
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  11. ^ "St. Paul Mayor Chris Coleman to run for governor in 2018 – Twin Cities". 13 December 2016. Retrieved 2016-12-13.
  12. ^ "Coleman withdraws from governor's race". February 12, 2018. Retrieved 2018-02-12.
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  33. ^ LBTQ Victory Fund endorsed Erin Maye Quade for Lieutenant Governor "Victory Fund Endorses 16 More LGBTQ Candidates for 2018, Including Two Historic Statewide Candidates". Victory Fund. 2018-07-24. Retrieved 2018-07-25.
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  35. ^ a b c d "Congressman Collin Peterson and R.T. Rybak Support Tim!". Tim Walz for Governor. April 4, 2017. Archived from the original on May 11, 2017. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
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  37. ^ a b Jacob Frey. "After I sat down with @Tim_Walz & @peggyflanagan months ago to talk about the election, I knew who I wanted to lead Minnesota. I'm THRILLED that they're leading our ticket. I can't wait for them to win in November & I can't wait to have such strong allies in the Governor's office". Twitter.
  38. ^ a b Fue Lee. "Kicking off the Weekend of Action for the @Tim_Walz-@peggyflanagan Campaign at the @MinnesotaDFL North Minneapolis Office. Thank you @MNSteveSimon for the opening #OneMinnesota #MNVotesEarly #BeAVoter". Twitter.
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  43. ^ a b "Operating Engineers Local 49 Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. February 6, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  44. ^ a b "LiUNA! Minnesota and North Dakota Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. February 8, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  45. ^ a b "Sheet Metal Workers Local 10 Union Endorses Tim Walz For Governor & Peggy Flanagan for Lt. Governor". Tim Walz for Governor. February 12, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  46. ^ a b "Teamsters Joint Council 32 Endorses Tim Walz For Minnesota Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. February 28, 2018. Archived from the original on April 11, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  47. ^ a b "MAPE Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. April 3, 2018. Archived from the original on April 11, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  48. ^ a b "AFGE Endorses Minnesota's Tim Walz for Governor". Tim Walz for Governor. June 18, 2018. Retrieved June 18, 2018.
  49. ^ Tim Holden and Olé Savior with 0%, other 1%
  50. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (May 10, 2017). "Echoing Trump's populist message, Jeff Johnson enters race for governor". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
  51. ^ Van Berkel, Jessie (May 14, 2018). "Jeff Johnson picks Donna Bergstrom as running mate in governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 14, 2018.
  52. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (April 5, 2018). "Tim Pawlenty makes it official: He's running for governor again". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 5, 2018.
  53. ^ Coolican, J Patrick (May 31, 2018). "Pawlenty picks Fischbach as running mate". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 31, 2018.
  54. ^ Morris, William (March 21, 2017). "Former Medford man launches run for governor". Owatonna People's Press. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
  55. ^ "Woodbury mayor files to run for governor as Republican". Minneapolis Star Tribune. Archived from the original on 2017-11-30. Retrieved 2017-11-29.
  56. ^ "GOP endorses Jeff Johnson for Governor". Kare 11. June 2, 2018.
  57. ^ "Giuliani Stephens names Backer to ticket in GOP governor bid". Star Tribune. May 2, 2018. Archived from the original on May 5, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  58. ^ Lease, Lawrence (December 31, 2016). "MN native Christopher Chamberlin running for governor in 2018". News Record. Retrieved December 31, 2016.
  59. ^ Pugmire, Tim (December 7, 2017). "As Dayton weighs Franken replacement, who may run in 2018?". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  60. ^ The Associated Press, "Republican Matt Dean Is No Longer Running For Governor", WCCO, January 25, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  61. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (July 24, 2017). "Keith Downey, former GOP chair, is running for governor with the message: 'I believe in you.'". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
  62. ^ Salisbury, Bill (April 18, 2018). "Keith Downey, former MN GOP chairman, drops out of governor's race". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved April 18, 2018.
  63. ^ "Ramsey County Commissioner Blake Huffman to run for governor". St. Paul Pioneer Press. April 18, 2017. Retrieved April 19, 2017.
  64. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (September 3, 2017). "Ramsey County's Blake Huffman withdraws from race for MN governor". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 5, 2017.
  65. ^ The Associated Press (January 8, 2018). "David Osmek says his campaign for Minnesota governor is over". twincities.com. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  66. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (February 18, 2017). "Rep. Sarah Anderson: A name for the 2018 statewide mix?". Star Tribune. Retrieved February 24, 2017.
  67. ^ Montgomery, David (July 19, 2017). "Michele Bachmann warns about 'radical Islam'". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
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  69. ^ Montgomery, David (December 5, 2016). "GOP hopefuls for governor seek support from party". Austin Daily Herald. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
  70. ^ Dillon, Nora (May 25, 2018). "Emmer Files For Reelection". emmerforcongress.com. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
  71. ^ "Karin Housley pulls in $514K for Senate race; businessman Jerry Trooien to enter fray". 13 April 2018. Retrieved 1 June 2018.
  72. ^ "Morning Digest: GOP poll gives Tammy Baldwin an early double-digit lead in Wisconsin Senate race". Daily Kos Elections. February 23, 2017. Retrieved February 24, 2017.
  73. ^ a b Golden, Erin (September 9, 2017). "Republican women consider runs for Minnesota office — but so far, few pulling trigger". Star Tribune. Retrieved 2017-09-19.
  74. ^ "Pillow mogul Mike Lindell denies report he is considering run for governor". Star Tribune. January 17, 2017. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  75. ^ Carlson, Heather J. (June 7, 2017). "Miller out, but plenty of other GOPers mull 1st District bids". Post-Bulletin. Retrieved June 13, 2017.
  76. ^ Carlson, Heather J. (October 2, 2017). "Nelson running for Congress". Post-Bulletin. Archived from the original on October 3, 2017. Retrieved October 2, 2017.
  77. ^ "Talking Points: Erik Paulsen & The 2018 Election". 24 September 2017. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
  78. ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (May 21, 2017). "Sheriff Rich Stanek running for re-election, not governor, in 2018". Minneapolis Star-Tribune. Archived from the original on May 21, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2017.
  79. ^ "State Rep. Josh Heintzeman endorses Pawlenty-Fischbach for Governor/Lt. Governor". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 25, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  80. ^ Tim Pawlenty for Governor. "It's great to see one of our supporters, @SenatorJasinski, out promoting the Pawlenty-Fischbach ticket in Faribault! Don't forget to vote on Tuesday, August 14th! 🇺🇸 #mngov". Twitter.
  81. ^ a b "Two former GOP Speakers of the Minnesota House endorse Pawlenty and Fischbach". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 11, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  82. ^ "Housing First Minnesota Endorses Tim Pawlenty for Governor". Housing First Minnesota. May 31, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  83. ^ "Associated Builders and Contractors Endorses Tim Pawlenty for Governor". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 28, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  84. ^ "Minnesota Chamber Leadership Fund PAC endorses Pawlenty for governor". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. July 2, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  85. ^ Minnesota College Republicans. "MNCRs endorse @TPaw2018 for Governor!". Twitter.
  86. ^ "Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis endorses Pawlenty-Fischbach for Governor/Lt. Governor". Tim Pawlenty for Governor. July 18, 2018. Archived from the original on July 22, 2018. Retrieved July 19, 2018.
  87. ^ "Our View / Endorsement: Pawlenty gives Republicans best shot". Duluth News Tribune. August 1, 2018.
  88. ^ "Star Tribune endorsement for governor in GOP primary: Tim Pawlenty". Star Tribune. August 4, 2018.
  89. ^ "ENDORSEMENT: PAWLENTY IS GOP'S TICKET BACK TO THE GOVERNOR'S MANSION". Mesabi Daily News. August 9, 2018.
  90. ^ Dickson, Janiese (May 10, 2017). "Politicians and citizens implore Minnesotans to legalize marijuana at 4/20 rally". City College News.
  91. ^ Golden, Erin (June 16, 2018). "Legal pot advocates join Minnesota races for state, federal offices". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
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  99. ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News. 10 October 2021.
  100. ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
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  102. ^ "Debates get race for Minnesota governor off to a roaring start". Star Tribune. August 18, 2018.
  103. ^ a b "Johnson, Walz spar at State Fair governor's debate". August 31, 2018.
  104. ^ "Johnson, Walz Participate in First Debate in Nisswa | KSTP.com". Archived from the original on 2018-08-19. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
  105. ^ "Almanac | Jeff Johnson + Tim Walz in the first post-primary TV debate | Season 2018 | Episode 48".
  106. ^ Donald J. Trump. "Jeff Johnson of Minnesota had a big night in winning the Republican nomination for Governor against a very strong and well known opponent! Thanks for all of the support you showed me. You have my complete and total Endorsement. You will win in November!". Twitter.
  107. ^ Michael R. Pence. "CONGRATS to @MNJeffJohnson & @PeteStauber on their primary victories in Minnesota last night. They are the kind of strong leaders we need supporting @realDonaldTrump's agenda!". Twitter.
  108. ^ Tom Emmer. "Congratulations to @MNJeffJohnson and @doug_wardlow on their primary wins. Look forward to working with the entire @mngop ticket to #TurnMNRed this November". Twitter.
  109. ^ "Former Lt. Gov. snubs old boss Tim Pawlenty, endorses Jeff Johnson". 4 May 2018. Retrieved 18 August 2018.
  110. ^ "Republican race for governor: Matt Dean drops out, throws support behind Jeff Johnson", Twin Cities Pioneer Press, January 25, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  111. ^ Tim Pawlenty. "Although the primary results were not what I had hoped, I have no regrets about the run. Am so grateful for Mary, my campaign team, supporters and friends for the great help and support. I wish @MNJeffJohnson the best as he strives to become MN's next Governor. Support him!". Twitter.
  112. ^ Jeff Johnson. "I'm so proud to have the support of my friend, Gov. Al Quie. He just turned 95, is sharp as a tack and wears his button with pride wherever he goes. God bless you, Al". Twitter.
  113. ^ Michelle Benson. "Update on @Tim_Walz government health care plan. @MNJeffJohnson is correct, it is not good for hospitals. #MNGov". Twitter.
  114. ^ Mike Lindell. ".@MNJeffJohnson for MN Governor! #voteAugust14th". Twitter.
  115. ^ Jeff Johnson. "FARMER ENDORSED. Our campaign is proud to have the endorsement of @MNFarmBureau MN Farmers are the people who move our state forward & help nourish our entire country. We're beyond excited to represent them come November! #OverthrowTheStatusQuo #MNGov". Twitter.
  116. ^ "Job Creators Strongly Support Jeff Johnson for Minnesota Governor". NFIB. September 25, 2018.
  117. ^ Smith, Kelly (October 16, 2018). "Minneapolis police union endorses Republican Jeff Johnson for Minnesota governor". Star Tribune.
  118. ^ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
  119. ^ Amy Klobuchar. "Great event at @HoopsBrewing in Duluth for my friend @Tim_Walz with a big crowd of supporters. Tim is standing up for Minnesota values and for our future. Looking forward to seeing him and @peggyflanagan win in November!". Twitter.
  120. ^ Tina Smith. "I am SO excited to see the incredible turnout everywhere @Tim_Walz and I go. We are hopeful. We have the momentum. And we are not taking ANYTHING for granted over the next 38 days. #OneMinnesota". Twitter.
  121. ^ News Tribune (12 March 2018). "Nolan endorses Walz for Minnesota governor". Duluth News Tribune.
  122. ^ Eric Garcetti. "Kicking off #EGinMN at the @MinnesotaDFL Founders' Day Dinner listening to @Tim_Walz -- a teacher and coach, veteran and congressman. Fired up by his speech, inspired by the leader he'll be for Minnesota". Twitter.
  123. ^ Jennifer Shultz. "Looking good, Duluth! TY @amyklobuchar, @Tim_Walz & @TonyLourey for visiting with us". Twitter.
  124. ^ "IFO Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. September 28, 2017. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  125. ^ a b c Chris Wright (GLC) with 2%
  126. ^ Chris Wright (GLC) with 4%
  127. ^ Chris Wright (GLC) with 1%
  128. ^ "Minnesota Secretary of State - 2018 General Election Results". Archived from the original on 2020-04-10. Retrieved 2018-12-12.
  129. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved 11 August 2020.
  130. ^ "Minnesota gubernatorial election exit poll". CNN. Retrieved November 20, 2018.

External links

Official campaign websites