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2014 Quebec general election

The 2014 Quebec general election was held on April 7, 2014 to elect members to the National Assembly of Quebec. The incumbent Parti Québécois which had won a minority government in 2012 was defeated by the Quebec Liberal Party under Philippe Couillard who won a majority government of 70 seats, while the incumbent Parti Québécois finished second with 30 seats, becoming the first single-term government since Jean-Jacques Bertrand's Union Nationale government was defeated in 1970. Pauline Marois electoral defeat marked the shortest stay of any Quebec provincial government since the Canadian Confederation.[1] It marked the lowest seat total for the Parti Québécois since 1989 and its smallest share of the popular vote since its inaugural run in 1970, as Premier Pauline Marois lost her own riding. The Coalition Avenir Québec under François Legault made minor gains in terms of seats despite receiving a smaller share of the popular vote than in the previous election. Québec solidaire won an additional seat, though co-spokesperson Andrés Fontecilla failed to win his riding. This election saw the return of the Liberals to power 2 years after their defeat in 2012. To date this is the last election where the Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the Quebec Assembly.

Summary

Seating plan following the election.

At the outset of the campaign, the Parti Québécois had a modest lead in the polls and appeared to have a realistic prospect of winning a majority government. However, the party's support rapidly collapsed after the party announced Pierre Karl Péladeau, the president and CEO of media conglomerate Quebecor, as a star candidate.[2] Péladeau's conservative and anti-union business background was widely criticized as being at odds with the party's social democratic history;[3] and his outspoken support for a third referendum on Quebec sovereignty quickly sidelined the issues — including the Charter of Quebec Values and the corruption allegations against the Liberals, the latter of which had contributed to the defeat of Jean Charest's government in the 2012 election — which the party had identified as its primary campaign themes, alienating many voters who had little desire to revive the sovereignty issue.[2]

In March 2014, Premier Pauline Marois was accused of antisemitism by The Center for Israel and Jewish Affairs (CIJA) surrounding the statements made by party member Louise Mailloux.[4] Mailloux had written statements equating the Jewish practice of circumcision to rape and claimed that halal and kosher food prices were kept high to fund religious activities abroad. She wrote that the money went to: “For the Jews, to finance Israel’s colonization in Palestinian territories? And for Muslims, to fund the Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamists who want to impose Islam worldwide?” Marois defended Mailloux, denying antisemitism within the party and stated that she had "very good relations with the leaders of this community and the leaders of all the different communities in Quebec.” CIJA claimed Marois's apology and statements were inadequate and "meaningless excuses" with CIJA Quebec vice-president, Luciano Del Negro, stating: "She alleges a misunderstanding and refuses to basically recognize her views are not only offensive, but anti-Semitic in nature.”[4][5][6][7][8]

Timeline (2012-2014)

Seat changes

Changes of party leaders

Other developments

Incumbent MNAs who did not run for re-election

Opinion polls

Evolution of voting intentions for the 2014 Quebec general election. Dots are individual poll results and trend lines are local regressions with 95% confidence interval.

1 Results among "likely voters"

Pre-campaign period

Media endorsements

Parti Québécois

Quebec Liberal Party

Results

Summary analysis

Pairing off the top three parties, swings were calculated to be:

  • PQ to Liberal: 8.45%
  • CAQ to Liberal: 7.16%
  • PQ to CAQ: 1.29%

Detailed analysis

Notes:

† The party designates David and Fontecilla as co-spokespeople. The party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Pierre-Paul St-Onge.[43]
†† Party contested the 2012 election under the name Coalition pour la constituante.
* Party did not nominate candidates in the previous election.

Synopsis of results

  1. ^ including spoilt ballots
  2. ^ All parties with more than 1% of the vote are shown individually. Independent candidates and other minor parties are aggregated separately. Parties are presented in the order shown on EQ data.
  3. ^ Pierre Michel Auger had been previously elected as an adéquiste MNA in 2007.
  4. ^ Richard Merlini was previously elected as an adéquiste MNA in 2007.
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Seats that changed hands

Summary analysis


See also

References

  1. ^ "Don Macpherson: This is a spectacular failure for Pauline Marois". June 20, 2014. Archived from the original on June 20, 2014. Retrieved September 16, 2022.
  2. ^ a b Tu Thanh Ha, "Three reasons the PQ lost, and Couillard’s biggest challenge". The Globe and Mail, April 8, 2014.
  3. ^ "Pierre Karl Péladeau to serve with ‘passion’". The Gazette, April 8, 2014.
  4. ^ a b Arnold, Janice; Reporter, Staff (March 14, 2014). "Marois defends PQ candidate with anti-Semitic views". Retrieved May 16, 2019.
  5. ^ "Jewish group not satisfied with apology from Parti Québécois candidate". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. March 16, 2014.
  6. ^ "Marois defends PQ candidate accused of spouting anti-Semitic myths". March 14, 2014. Retrieved May 16, 2019.
  7. ^ "Marois faces questions on sovereignty, anti-semitic conspiracy candidate | CTV News Montreal". montreal.ctvnews.ca. March 14, 2014. Retrieved May 16, 2019.
  8. ^ "Parti Québécois candidate revives an anti-Semitic lie". The Star. Toronto. March 17, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2015.
  9. ^ "Daniel Ratthé eager to return to CAQ caucus". CBC News. May 21, 2013. Retrieved May 22, 2013.
  10. ^ "MNA Dubourg stepping down, will run for Federal Liberals". CTV News. August 9, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  11. ^ "By-elections - December 9, 2013 - Preliminary results". Archived from the original on December 13, 2013.
  12. ^ "Fatima Houda-Pepin quits Quebec Liberal caucus". CBC News. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 23, 2014.
  13. ^ "Jean-Marc Fournier named interim leader of Quebec Liberals". The Globe and Mail. September 2012. Retrieved September 12, 2012.
  14. ^ "Philippe Couillard wins Quebec Liberal leadership". The Canadian Press. March 17, 2013. Retrieved March 17, 2013.
  15. ^ Simard, Mathieu (November 4, 2012). "Khadir steps down as Québec solidaire co-leader". The Canadian Press. Retrieved November 25, 2012.
  16. ^ Simard, Mathieu (December 2, 2012). "Québec Solidaire elects interim co-spokesman". CBC News. Retrieved December 2, 2012.
  17. ^ Sioui, Marie-Michèle (May 5, 2013). "Québec solidaire choisit Andrés Fontecilla comme porte-parole". La Presse. Retrieved May 5, 2013.
  18. ^ Canadian Press (February 24, 2013). "Le chef du Parti vert du Québec quitte son poste en plein congrès". Le Devoir (in French). Retrieved March 15, 2013.
  19. ^ Bourgault-Côté, Guillaume (June 20, 2013). "Jean-Martin Aussant quitte la direction d'Option Nationale". Le Devoir (in French). Retrieved March 15, 2014.
  20. ^ "Marois government survives confidence vote by slim margin". CBC News. February 21, 2013. Retrieved February 25, 2013.
  21. ^ "Bill n°3: An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections". National Assembly of Québec. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
  22. ^ "PQ government tables budget, touts economic performance amid election talk". CTV Montreal. The Canadian Press. February 20, 2014. Retrieved February 20, 2014.
  23. ^ Séguin, Rhéal (February 20, 2014). "Six key themes of Quebec's new budget". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved February 20, 2014.
  24. ^ "Parti Québécois budget aimed at triggering election, opposition says". CBC News. February 20, 2014. Retrieved February 20, 2014.
  25. ^ Dougherty, Kevin (February 20, 2014). "Budget could spur election call as early as Wednesday". The Gazette. Archived from the original on February 24, 2014. Retrieved February 20, 2014.
  26. ^ "Quebec Election 2014: Pauline Marois Sets Date For April 7". The Huffington Post. March 5, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
  27. ^ "Key dates". DGE. Archived from the original on March 15, 2014. Retrieved March 15, 2014.
  28. ^ a b c d "Five additional days to vote". DGE. Archived from the original on March 15, 2014. Retrieved March 15, 2014.
  29. ^ "Advance Poll". DGE. Archived from the original on March 15, 2014. Retrieved March 15, 2014.
  30. ^ Hopper, Tristen (March 26, 2014). "McGill student rejected as voter in Quebec election despite living in province since 2009". National Post. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
  31. ^ "Voting on Polling Day". DGE. Archived from the original on October 1, 2012. Retrieved March 15, 2014.
  32. ^ Lessard, Denis (March 6, 2014). "Marie Malavoy abandonne la politique". La Presse (in French). Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  33. ^ Michaud, Pierre (February 13, 2014). "Irvin Pelletier ne sollicitera pas de quatrième mandat". TVA Nouvelles (in French). Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  34. ^ a b c "D'Arcy McGee MNA Bergman set to step aside". The Gazette. March 5, 2014. Archived from the original on March 7, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
  35. ^ a b c d e "Two West Island MNAs – Pierre Marsan, Yolande James – will not seek re-election". The Gazette. February 24, 2014. Archived from the original on March 6, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
  36. ^ La Presse canadienne (March 5, 2014). "La caquiste Hélène Daneault quitte le navire caquiste aussitôt la campagne déclenchée". Le Devoir (in French). Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  37. ^ "Jacques Duchesneau won't run again for the CAQ". The Gazette. February 19, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
  38. ^ "Daniel Ratthé quitte la vie politique" sur le Huffington Post, le March 6, 2014 in (in French)
  39. ^ "Le choix du Devoir". Le Devoir. April 5, 2014. Retrieved June 8, 2014.
  40. ^ Pratte, André (April 3, 2014). "Trois raisons de voter libéral : économie – référendum – Charte". La Presse. Retrieved June 8, 2014.
  41. ^ "Editorial: The Couillard Liberals deserve to govern". April 4, 2014. Retrieved June 8, 2014.
  42. ^ a b "General elections". DGE. Retrieved May 7, 2014.
  43. ^ a b c "Political parties". DGE. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
  44. ^ a b c "Data archives". www.dgeq.org. Élections Québec. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
  45. ^ "Les membres de l'Assemblée nationale par circonscription" [National Assembly members by riding] (in French). National Assembly of Quebec. Retrieved May 12, 2024.
  46. ^ a b "Les résultats électoraux depuis 1867" [Electoral results since 1867] (in French). National Assembly of Quebec. Retrieved May 12, 2024.

External links