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1999 New Brunswick general election

Rendition of party representation in the 54th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly decided by this election.
  Progressive Conservatives (44)
  Liberals (10)
  New Democrats (1)

The 1999 New Brunswick general election was held on June 7, 1999, to elect 55 members to the 54th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

Campaign

The election marked the debut of both Camille Thériault and Bernard Lord as leaders of the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives respectively. It was Elizabeth Weir's third general election as leader of the New Democratic Party.

Thériault's Liberals were widely expected to win a fourth majority government from the outset of the campaign, and opinion polls showed them leading by double but Lord's Tories were able to capitalize on the issue of highway tolls and use it to portray the Liberals as arrogant. Lord made an effective wedge issue on tolls, saying they were unfair to people who lived near the toll booths and had to drive through them daily and also as an example of arrogance and uncaring from the Liberals. Lord then pledged to implement 20 of his key promises in his first 200 days in office, he styled this as "200 Days of Change", a message which was modelled on the Contract with America and the Common Sense Revolution, and it resonated with voters. Another disadvantage for the Liberals was the loss of former premier Frank McKenna, who had retired after 10 years in office in 1997. McKenna was very popular and Thériault had difficulty shaking negative comparisons between himself and his predecessor.

Following a huge surge in the final weeks of the campaign, Lord became Premier with his party winning its largest majority in the history of New Brunswick. Lord's tories also won the majority of Acadian seats, something the PC Party in New Brunswick had struggled to do in the past.

Lord's win was 44 of 55 seats, at 80% a huge majority, was viewed as remarkable by all parties. Thériault, who came off in the campaign as cold and uncharismatic, made what pundits thought was his best speech of the campaign on election night when he said "the people of New Brunswick have spoken, and the people of New Brunswick are never wrong". However, Lord's massive victory caused a domino effect which resulted in the defeat of many Liberals who had been viewed by pundits as undefeatable.

Opinion polls

Riding-specific polls

Moncton East by-election

Summary of results

Narrow wins and losses

A lot of Liberals, many high profile, lost their seats by very narrow margins while some barely survived. Below is a list of the 14 ridings (over a quarter of all districts) decided by less than 10%. Incumbent Liberal cabinet ministers are in bold, other incumbents are in italics.

Candidates

Party leaders and cabinet ministers are denoted in bold.

Northern New Brunswick

Eastern New Brunswick

Southeastern New Brunswick

Greater Fredericton

Upper Saint John River Valley

References

  1. ^ "Provincial Election Results - Elections NB". February 5, 2014.
  2. ^ Cox, Kevin (June 7, 1999). "Liberal 'cakewalk' looks more like an uphill climb: New Brunswick election is too close to call though Theriault at first looked certain to win". The Globe and Mail. p. A7.
  3. ^ Cox, Kevin (June 1, 1999). "Polls suggest N.B. Liberals in tough fight with Tories: Conservatives say results have given new energy to campaign; Grits believe team now working harder to win June 7 vote". The Globe and Mail. p. A11.
  4. ^ "New Brunswick: Tories take lead in polls". The Times Colonist. May 29, 1999. p. A9.
  5. ^ a b Poitras, Jacques (May 29, 1999). "Poll gives PCs first lead since Hatfield". The Telegraph Journal. p. A1.
  6. ^ Cox, Kevin (June 18, 1999). "New Brunswick Tory Leader calls for tax cuts Lord tries to cut Liberals' lead by arguing that high provincial rates drive away doctors and nurses". The Globe and Mail. p. A4.
  7. ^ "Liberals' popularity up slightly: poll". The Telegraph Journal. March 9, 1999.
  8. ^ White, Alan (January 21, 1999). "Pollster finds Liberals are main choice". The Telegraph Journal.
  9. ^ Hrabluk, Lisa; Veniot, Andre (December 8, 1998). "Liberal popularity dips in latest poll". The Telegraph Journal.
  10. ^ Veniot, Andre (September 2, 1998). "Liberals' approval rating jumps". The Telegraph Journal.
  11. ^ Goguen, Giselle (June 13, 1998). "Theriault should wait to call election, poll indicates". The Telegraph Journal.
  12. ^ Richardson, Don (May 29, 1999). "Poll tracks steady Liberal decline". The Telegraph Journal. p. A1.
  13. ^ Hrabluk, Lisa (October 17, 1998). "Moncton East going down to the wire: poll". The Telegraph Journal.